Rules, Reputation and Macroeconomic Policy Coordination by David Currie, Paul Levine PDF

By David Currie, Paul Levine

ISBN-10: 051159917X

ISBN-13: 9780511599170

ISBN-10: 0521104602

ISBN-13: 9780521104609

ISBN-10: 052144196X

ISBN-13: 9780521441964

This ebook is anxious with the layout and behavior of macroeconomic coverage in a world context. It addresses the benefits and drawbacks of easy coverage principles, the best way to formulate coverage within the face of uncertainty, the potential advantages from overseas coverage coordination and the function that credibility performs in making a choice on the effectiveness of presidency intervention. those concerns are introduced jointly to supply a different, unified method of the topic. The e-book can be of curiosity to scholars and lecturers of macroeconomics, economists fascinated about the layout of coverage utilizing macroeconomic types.

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Read e-book online Rules, Reputation and Macroeconomic Policy Coordination PDF

This ebook is anxious with the layout and behavior of macroeconomic coverage in a world context. It addresses the benefits and drawbacks of straightforward coverage ideas, the best way to formulate coverage within the face of uncertainty, the prospective merits from foreign coverage coordination and the position that credibility performs in choosing the effectiveness of presidency intervention.

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It gave little support to those - and I regret there were some - who naively conveyed the impression that control techniques were the answer to policy-makers' dreams, that all one needed to do was to take the Treasury model, apply control methods, and, after a process in which the preferences of policy-makers would be established, the budget could be read straight from the computer printout. Now there are a variety of reasons why the use of control theory in economics is likely to be less straightforward than in engineering applications, and some of these I shall touch on later.

1982). On the notion of bounded rationality in economics, see particularly Simon (1982, 1983). 6 Mason (1983). 7 See, for example, the National Institute (1983, 1984), Kmenta and Ramsey (1981). 8 Cross (1983). 9 For models of learning, see Bray (1982), Bray and Savin (1986), and Frydman and Phelps (1983). For analysis of partial information, see Frydman and Phelps (1983), Minford and Peel (1983), Pearlman et al. (1986) and Townsend (1983). See also Barro and Gordon (1983a, b), Kreps and Wilson (1982) and Backus and Driffill (1985a, b) for consideration of credibility and reputation.

But it serves rather badly if circumstances change markedly - for example, if the price of oil alters dramatically as in 1973 and 1978, or if policy shifts abruptly as in 1979/80. Moreover, it is most unlikely to perform well in financial or foreign exchange markets, where conventional rules of thumb cannot be expected to produce profits. 4 This cuts through the problem of having two distinct models - one for how the economy works and the other for how people form expectations - by assuming that people form their expectations on the basis of knowledge of the true structure of the economy.

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Rules, Reputation and Macroeconomic Policy Coordination by David Currie, Paul Levine


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